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Bit Destruction Bound

Statement

Theorem (Bit Destruction Identity). For any Dsetk\text{Dset}_k with orbital oddity ss, the bits destroyed per drop are:

β(s)=slog23slog23=1{slog23}\beta(s) = \lceil s \cdot \log_2 3 \rceil - s \cdot \log_2 3 = 1 - \{s \cdot \log_2 3\}

where {x}\{x\} is the fractional part. This is always strictly positive because log23\log_2 3 is irrational.

Significance

Every single Collatz drop destroys a positive number of bits — there are no zero-progress drops. The minimum destruction rate is governed by how well log23\log_2 3 can be approximated by rationals, connecting Collatz dynamics to Diophantine approximation and Roth's theorem.

The Bit Destruction Landscape

Table of β(s)\beta(s) for s=0s = 0 through 2929 (include all values):

ssslog23s \cdot \log_2 3β(s)\beta(s)Setk_kStatus
00.0001.0001
11.5850.4153
23.1700.8306
34.7550.2458
46.3400.66011
57.9250.07513slow
69.5100.49016
711.0950.90519
812.6800.32021
914.2650.73524
1015.8500.15026slow
1117.4350.56529
1219.0200.98032
1320.6050.39534
1422.1890.81137
1523.7740.22639
1625.3590.64142
1726.9440.05644slow
1828.5290.47147
1930.1140.88650
2031.6990.30152
2133.2840.71655
2234.8690.13157slow
2336.4540.54660
2438.0390.96163
2539.6240.37665
2641.2090.79168
2742.7940.20670
2844.3790.62173
2945.9640.03675slow

Pattern: slow sets occur when slog23s \cdot \log_2 3 approaches an integer from below.

Proof

The contraction ratio for Dsetk\text{Dset}_k with oddity ss is 3s/2ks3^s / 2^{k-s}. From the Odd Stopping Time Spectrum, k=s+slog23k = s + \lceil s \cdot \log_2 3 \rceil, so ks=slog23k - s = \lceil s \cdot \log_2 3 \rceil.

The bits destroyed equal the negative log of the contraction ratio:

β(s)=log2 ⁣(3s2ks)=(ks)slog23=slog23slog23\beta(s) = -\log_2\!\left(\frac{3^s}{2^{k-s}}\right) = (k-s) - s \cdot \log_2 3 = \lceil s \cdot \log_2 3 \rceil - s \cdot \log_2 3

Since log23\log_2 3 is irrational, slog23s \cdot \log_2 3 is never an integer for s>0s > 0, so β(s)>0\beta(s) > 0 always.

Connection to Roth's Theorem

The slowest sets correspond to the best rational approximations p/qp/q to log23\log_2 3:

ppq=sq = sp/qp/qβ(s)\beta(s)
851.6000.075
19121.5830.020
65411.5850.017
84531.5850.003
4853061.5850.001

By Roth's theorem: for any ε>0\varepsilon > 0, there are finitely many rationals p/qp/q with log23p/q<1/q2+ε|\log_2 3 - p/q| < 1/q^{2+\varepsilon}. This gives:

β(s)>csfor some constant c>0\beta(s) > \frac{c}{s} \quad \text{for some constant } c > 0

Corollary (Conditional Convergence). If every integer >1> 1 has a finite dropping time, then every orbit reaches 1 in at most O(log2n)O(\log^2 n) drops.

Proof. A number with B=log2nB = \lfloor \log_2 n \rfloor bits can only visit sets with sB/log23s \leq B / \log_2 3. Each drop destroys β(si)>c/smax>c/B\beta(s_i) > c/s_{\max} > c'/B bits. After B/(c/B)=O(B2)B/(c'/B) = O(B^2) drops, all bits are destroyed.

Numerical Verification

BB (bits)Min β\beta among reachable setsWorst-case dropsAvg drops (observed)
640.0196~3,300~90
1280.0030~42,000~180
2560.0030~85,000~360
10240.0015~694,000~1,400

The observed average (~1.4B1.4B) is far below the worst case (~B2/cB^2/c), confirming the mixing property drives typical behavior.